S&P Global UK Construction PMI®: Activity Increases at Fastest Pace in 26 Months

Key Findings:

• Activity rises amid much faster increase in new orders
• Employment increases for third month running
• Emerging pressure on supply chains signalled

Growth accelerated in the UK construction sector as the second half of the year got underway, with July seeing much faster increases in both activity and new orders during the month. In turn, firms ramped up purchasing activity and raised staffing levels for the third month running. Higher demand for inputs imparted some pressure on supply chains, and input costs increased at a faster pace.

The headline S&P Global UK Construction Purchasing Managers’ Index™ (PMI®) – a seasonally adjusted index tracking changes in total industry activity – rose sharply to 55.3 in July from 52.2 in June. The reading signalled a marked monthly expansion in total activity in the construction sector, extending the current sequence of growth to five months. Moreover, the rate of expansion was the fastest since May 2022.

All three categories of construction saw activity increase in July as work on housing projects returned to growth. Commercial activity increased solidly, but the fastest expansion was seen in civil engineering activity, where the rate of growth quickened to the sharpest in almost two-anda-half years.

According to respondents, success in securing new orders was the main factor leading to a rise in construction activity at the start of the third quarter. New business expanded for the sixth month running, and at a marked pace that was the strongest since April 2022. Alongside a general improvement in market demand, there were also reports that customer confidence had strengthened, making them more willing to release previously paused projects.

Rising workloads led construction firms to expand both their purchasing activity and employment more quickly in July.

Staffing levels were up for the third consecutive month, and at a solid pace that was the fastest for a year.

Meanwhile, a strong rise in purchasing activity was the most pronounced in almost two years.

The Marketing to Contractors & Housebuilders feature (which is sponsored by South East Construction Expo) in the Sectors section of our Directory provides an overview of the sector, including
details of its various media channels and events, together with access to our downloadable database of those with responsibility for procurement at key firms.

Increased demand for inputs put some pressure on suppliers in July, resulting in broadly unchanged lead times during the month. This ended a 16-month sequence of improving vendor performance. Panellists also reported issues with manufacturing and transportation. On the other hand, some respondents indicated that suppliers had sufficient stocks to keep on top of orders.

The rate of input cost inflation meanwhile showed signs of picking up as suppliers raised prices in line with stronger demand. The solid increase in input costs was the jointfastest in 14 months, equal with that seen in January. That said, the rate of inflation was still much weaker than the series average.

Sub-contractor usage rose for the fourth month running, and at a solid pace. Although sub-contractor availability continued to increase markedly, the latest rise was the least pronounced since June 2023. The rates charged by subcontractors increased modestly again.

Construction firms remained strongly optimistic that activity will expand over the coming year, although sentiment dipped to a three-month low in July. Improving client confidence is predicted to help lead to growth of new orders and subsequently activity. New product development is also set to support activity. Close to 53% of respondents predicted a rise in activity over the next 12 months.

Andrew Harker, Economics Director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said, “The election-related slowdown in growth seen in June proved to be temporary, with the pace of expansion roaring ahead in July. Firms saw the strongest increases in new orders and activity since 2022 as paused projects were released amid reports of improved customer confidence.

“The strength of demand moved the sector closer to capacity, bringing a recent period of improving supplier performance to an end. There were also signs of inflationary pressures picking up, something that will need to be watched closely if demand strength continues in the months ahead.”

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